Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 9.635957 11.145646 12.763984 14.622068 16.690512 18.916458 21.486950
2025-06-29 7.781856 9.758106 12.009617 14.744895 17.957316 21.589418 25.984476
2025-07-06 6.537223 8.782037 11.473754 14.898486 19.096189 24.028670 30.214198
2025-07-13 5.743086 8.193745 11.264720 15.327203 20.485425 26.738814 34.807308
2025-07-20 5.068684 7.644983 11.005918 15.609747 21.639578 29.149996 39.078977
2025-07-27 4.419806 7.034999 10.580579 15.599199 22.363779 30.999843 42.670117
2025-08-03 3.691016 6.216151 9.778961 14.993143 22.226584 31.689421 44.754246
2025-08-10 3.196678 5.672760 9.296364 14.761347 22.538883 32.933523 47.554358
2025-08-17 2.749630 5.143379 8.776251 14.418964 22.650160 33.878283 49.952028
2025-08-24 2.409859 4.740440 8.401044 14.244707 22.964437 35.081838 52.705817
2025-08-31 2.080415 4.312062 7.943177 13.902696 22.999067 35.874200 54.893829
2025-09-07 1.880447 4.081249 7.773953 13.980577 23.638092 37.520292 58.295614
2025-09-14 1.667155 3.802422 7.504535 13.884803 24.013228 38.806237 61.241087
2025-09-21 1.522847 3.633567 7.402607 14.044284 24.774734 40.666172 65.045972
2025-09-28 1.395053 3.480003 7.311665 14.210003 25.543832 42.551172 68.927442
2025-10-05 1.317554 3.417482 7.374384 14.630721 26.724568 45.075652 73.796984
2025-10-12 1.226747 3.315491 7.355404 14.906387 27.677206 47.276549 78.236660
2025-10-19 1.108380 3.138239 7.180758 14.897685 28.161033 48.769664 81.652620
2025-10-26 0.936700 2.815913 6.700262 14.314225 27.665098 48.728586 82.753431
2025-11-02 0.824285 2.612909 6.432117 14.091134 27.752046 49.584502 85.218148
2025-11-09 0.714598 2.398105 6.119016 13.761381 27.635914 50.106234 87.171364
2025-11-16 0.631832 2.237281 5.901274 13.593565 27.785068 51.045777 89.780938
2025-11-23 0.545531 2.051071 5.610650 13.264169 27.630919 51.482734 91.605950